Last Week
Studs
J. Jones: Win: 17 Points
J. Charles: Loss: 8 Points
N. Burleson: Win: 7 Points
M. Crabtree: Loss: 3 Points
D. Bowe: Win: 7 Points
A. Smith: Win: 16 Points
M. Hasselbeck Win: 17 Points
V. Davis: Win: 10 Points
Green Bay ST/D: Loss: 2 Points
Weekly record: 6-3
Season record: 36-25 (60%)
Duds
L. Tomlinson: Win: 3 Points
J. Addai: Loss: 23 Points
S. Smith: Win: 6 Points
B. Marshall: Loss: 11 Points
B. Roethlisberger: Loss: 18 Points
K. Orton: Win: 6 Points
H. Miller: Win: 1 Point
Weekly record: 4-3
Season record: 39-13 (75%)
Scoring System:
A win for a QB will be 14+ points
A win for a RB will be 10+ points
A win for a WR will be 7+ points
A win for a TE will be 7+ points
A win for a D/ST will be 8+ points
A win for a K will be 8+ points
Of course it’s the opposite for the duds.
Week 10
STUDS
Thomas Jones vs. Jacksonville
Positional Rank: 8
Fresh off a bye, Thomas Jones and the Jets get a top flight match up with the Jags, who come north to mix it up in the Swamp. Jacksonville brings their 22nd ranked run defense to New York in a vein attempt to halt Jets and their number one ranked rushing attack. Mark Sanchez has yet to prove that he can play effectively in cold weather scenarios, so look for a heavy dose Jones. Before the bye, Jones is coming off games of 210, 121, and 102 rushing yards, taking advantage of good match ups along the way. Jones should turn in a highly emphatic performance this weekend, so get him in the lineup.
Pierre Thomas at St. Louis
Positional Rank: 9
Lucky Pierre has reestablished himself on the good end of the backfield timeshare in New Orleans and that should pay huge dividends this week as the Saints clash with the lowly Rams. St. Louis, owners of the 27th ranked run defense, have problems stopping teams in every facet of the game and will be at odds to stop Thomas and the Saints run game. It wouldn’t surprise anyone to see the Bad Boys of the Bayou post a sixty burger on the Rams this week and everyone should get involved. Thomas may see this as an excellent opportunity to bolster is personal stats for the year. Start him.
Ronnie Brown vs. Tampa Bay
Positional Rank: 12
Tampa has problems stopping the run. That may actually be an understatement. The Bucs cede 163 ypg on the ground and are a terrible match up for the run happy Dolphins. The Wildcat has made Ronnie Brown into a fantasy dynamo now that he gets the ball in his hands for around 50% of the snaps. Given that opportunity this week, Brown will run wild(cat) all over Tampa. Hopefully, recreational drug
enthusiast Ricky Williams won’t pilfer away too many scores.
Marques Colston at St. Louis
Positional Rank: 5
Despite suffering through the flu, not swine related, Colston is not supposed to miss action on Sunday. This is good news for Colston owners everywhere as he’ll get to take advantage of what is arguably his best match up of the season. The Rams secondary won’t know what to do with Colston and his huge frame, Brees will be looking his way on almost every play inside the 20. Take advantage here.
Sidney Rice vs. Detroit
Positional Rank: 10
Except the Vikings to light up the scoreboard this week when the submissive Lions come to town. This is great news for Sidney Rice. Minnesota’s big play receiver should have a field day, complete with orange drink, against the 31st ranked pass defense. Although Rice only went for 40 yards in week 8, he’s just three weeks removed from back to back 130+ yard days. He should be closer to the latter pace this week.
Derrick Mason at Cleveland
Positional Rank: 16
Mason turned in a poor performance against the Browns in week one but write that off to coming out of retirement rust. Mason is in the swing of things now and looks to take advantage of the Dog Pound Dwellers. He is the most targeted receiver on the Ravens and that should pay off in spades this week. Although he may not get into the end zone, Mason should be good for 8+ catches and 100+ yards.
Alex Smith vs. Chicago
Positional Rank: 11
A late TD pass helped Smith achieve stud status last week but he should accomplish that feat much sooner Thursday night. The Bears defense has deteriorated each week and from hence forward should be considered one of the leagues worst. Smith has shown a propensity to take advantage of porous secondaries and the Bears definitely fit that bill. If you are a Schaub or Manning owner in need of bye week help, you will be happy inserting the former Ute into your lineup.
Joe Flacco at Cleveland
Positional Rank: 6
Flacco’s best fantasy game of the year came in week one against the “mighty” Browns. He threw for three touchdowns and 300+ yards, I envision more of the same this week. Flacco has been substantially than fellow sophomore Matt Ryan and except people may not have realized it yet. A Monday night game against the Browns, on the national stage, should provide Flacco all the ammunition he needs to reverse peoples’ opinions.
Brent Celek at San Diego
Positional Rank: 3
San Diego is just terrible against tight ends. With all the blitz pressure from the 3-4 defense, it makes the Chargers highly susceptible to medium sized passes over the middle. Celek has emerged as a quality week in and week out option and should post huge numbers this week. It seems that whenever McNabb has a good game, Celek follows. And I like McNabb to pass all over the not so super Chargers defense this week.
Dallas D/ST at Green Bay
Although America’s team may let up scores of points, they should make it up in the sack and turnover department. Aaron Rodgers loves to try to extend plays and seems to have little success with it. He has been sacked a league high 37 times and Dallas boasts one of the game’s best blitzing defenses. All that pressure should force Rodgers into some turnovers and possible defensive scores.
Miami D/ST vs. Tampa Bay
I got burned last week betting against Josh Friedman and the Bucs but playing on the road is a different thing. Despite the cheap plane tickets to Miami, Tampa should revert back into playing like the 1-7 team they are. Miami’s defense has one main flaw, the deep pass, and Friedman doesn’t seem ready to start punishing teams downfield. Roll with the Dolphins at home to keep the visitor side of the scoreboard from flickering too much.
DUDS
Ladainian Tomlinson vs. Philadelphia
Positional Rank: 40
Making an appearance in the duds column for the second week running, it is LT. LT will have a terrible week again against the Eagles but no through lack of trying. The Chargers will probably get down in this game because they’ll pass down to the 5 yard line and then give the ball to Tomlinson three straight times before kicking a field goal. They’ll do this once and then wise up to the fact that handing the ball to someone who’s a shell of his former self is awful strategy. Start Sproles instead.
Jamal Lewis vs. Baltimore
Positional Rank: 32
Baltimore is coming off torching at the hands of Cedric Benson, again, and will try to make an example of the Browns running game. Well, the Browns in general. Cleveland is inept on offense, and defense for that matter, and will struggle is make and positive gains on the ground. I’d set the over under for Cleveland first downs at 5.
Kevin Smith at Minnesota
Positional Rank: 25
Unless he gets going in the passing game, don’t look for Smith to help you out too much this week. The Vikes rank 6th against the run and will look to key on Smith with Megatron still dealing with his knee problems. In week 2, Smith was able to eek out 93 total yards on 26 touches. I don’t foresee smith touching the ball 26 times this week. Get him on the bench.
Mike Sims-Walker at New York Jets
Positional Rank: 34
If you have tuned in to any of my previous columns, you’ll know about my expressed adoration for the man with two last names. This week, not so much. Sims-Walker will fall victim to the dreaded DRE: the Darrelle Revis Effect. Revis will shut MSW all day long. I’d start Torry Holt instead this week.
Johnny Knox at San Francisco
Positional Rank: 36
Knox has really taken his foot off the pedal since his nice four game run form weeks 2-6. Although San Fran struggles against the pass, Cutler is looking more to the trio of Olsen, Hester and Bennett recently. Fort Knox should be locked away on the pines this week.
Santana Moss
Positional Rank: 37
Moss is terrible and it shows up every week now. This week he draws the unfortunate task of dealing with Champ Bailey every play. Unless you are really pressed, treat Moss like nuclear waste. Stay away.
Carson Palmer
Positional Rank: 18
Proving my distain wrong most weeks, Carson Palmer is having a really nice comeback season for the Bengals. Regrettably for Palmer, since Troy Polamalu and his dandruff free hair, thanks Head and Shoulders, returned to captain the Steel Curtain, they’ve been a different team. Palmer was dud in his last meeting with the Steelers, it’ll probably be worse this time out.
David Garrard
Positional Rank: 20
I really think the Jags get their asses handed to them in the Meadowlands this week. Don’t expect even a respectable game here from Garrard, who has been a major disappointment over the last few weeks. If he can’t get it done against the Chiefs at home, how can he do it getting stuck in the Swamp?
Jason Witten
Positional Rank: 13
Oh how the mighty have fallen. The consensus top tight end pick coming into the year has killed his owners 8 of 9 weeks. I’m finally getting on the bandwagon proclaiming there are no less than 12 more useful tight end options this week. Use one of them instead.