Hit Counters

Monday, November 23, 2009

Pick Ups of the Week

Well, I want to take this opportunity to thank everyone that has stopped by to check out the blog since its inception way back two months ago. it looks like I'm taking a step up in the world as I have been named Football Editor in chief at a real fantasy website. I'm going to leave this site as is and this will be its final post. If you want to continue reading my columns I encourage everyone to come on over to www.rotocommunity.com where they will now be posted. It's a great site and has far more information than this blog ever hoped to have. so once again thank you and I hope to hear from you over there.





5. Chambers, Chris WR Kansas City

While Dwayne Bowe is off suffering from low self esteem, suspended four games for banned diuretics, Chris Chambers has stepped in into the number one receiver's role and has produced valiantly. He has double digit fantasy points in two of three games as a Chief and his upcoming schedule should allow him to keep up this pace.

4. Succop, Ryan K Kansas City

While I agree that kickers are basically week to week plays, Succop is in a very good position. He plays for the touchdownily challenged Chiefs. The Cheifs don't seem to have too many problems moving the ball down the field. They just have stalling problems from the 25 yard line on. Maybe it's just vapor lock? Anyways, over the next four weeks Succop gets defenses that the Chiefs will definitely be able to move the ball on: @ SD, vs DEN, vs BUF, vs CLE.

3. Boss, Kevin TE New York Giants

Tight ends have fallen by the wayside with injuries all year long, leaving many owners looking for replacements and week to week fill ins. Boss was drafted as a low end option as the year started and was almost universally dropped after a poor start. Now, with tight ends in demand, Boss has come to life over his past three games. Boss now has four touchdowns in his last three games and is a much better option than lets say.... Jason Witten at this point. if you need the help, you can do much worse than the Big Boss Man.

2. Forsett, Justin RB Seattle

Forsett broke onto the scene last week when he was able to give fits to the Cardinals. His ownership vaulted up a little but he available in a surprising amount of leagues. His match up against the Vikings was perceived to be difficult on paper and that played out in reality. Forsett finished with 9 carries for 9 yards, pretty unspectacular stuff. What was encouraging about his performance were his 8 catches for 80 yards out of the backfield. It showed everyone that even if the Seahawks are down, Forsett will still get his touches. With Julius Jones still banged up with his bleeding lung, the Seahawks may see what they have in Forsett as the season winds down. Seattle has a great schedule from now until week 16. If Forsett can remain the starter, he'll be top 20 back the rest of the season. top 15 in PPR leagues.

1. Cartwright, Rock RB Washington

One the best names in football finally gets his chance to shine after Ladell Betts left Sunday's game at Dallas with a torn MCL. the extent of the injury isn't fully known yet but count on Betts to miss at least a few weeks. Cartwright should be in line to receive the majority of carries and proved himself as a viable threat out of the backfield (7 catches, 73 yards). With so many running back injuries as of late and the amount of platoon backfields around the league, Cartwright may prove to be a valuable commodity as the season winds down. The next three weeks he gets pretty favorable match ups: @ Philly, vs New Orleans, and @ Oakland.

OTHER NOTABLES

  • QB: Alex Smith once again produced a quality stat line and should be a nice filler down the stretch if you need the help. Upcoming games against Seattle, Jacksonville, Detroit, Philadelphia and Arizona should make smith a top 15 option for the rest of the season.
  • RB: Fred Jackson was widely dropped when Beast Mode returned to the line but may get a chance to be the primary ball handler again, as Lynch left the game with a shoulder injury.
  • Jamaal Charles isn't universally owned so that means you may have the opportunity to still nab him of the wire. His biggest threat to pilfer carries, Kolby Smith, left the game after the first carry against the Raiders.
  • Bernard Scott had a great game in a losing cause against Oakland. Unfortunately for Scott, it looks like Cedric Benson will return to take his job back last week. Scott is clearly the handcuff to Benson. So if you have an open roster spot and you're a Benson owner, you'll want to have Scott as insurance.
  • WR: Brandon Gibson only hauled in 5 catches for 61 yards but was on the receiving end of 17 Marc Bulger targets. 17!!!
  • TE: With Bruce Gradkowski at the helm for the foreseeable future, the previously "unownable" Zach Miller may be worth a flyer for all those with tight end troubles. There's nothing better for a bad quarterback than a sure handed big target that stand about 10 yards away from you. Miller had seven targets and turned that into 5-65 and a score.
  • D/ST: Despite their bad week, the Bengals should be back to regular form the next two weeks with back to back home dates against the Browns and Lions. Cincy's D is still out there on the wire in some league and will provide at least two weeks of top 10 value in the short term.

Thursday, November 19, 2009

Stud & Duds Week 11

Last Week

Studs

T. Jones: Win: 13 Points
P. Thomas: Loss: 3 Points
R. Brown: Win: 13 Points
M. Colston: Loss: -1 Point
S. Rice: Win: 20 Points
D. Mason: Win: 7 Points
J. Flacco: Loss: 6 Points
A. Smith: Loss: 2 Points
B. Celek: Win: 10 Points
Dallas ST/D: Loss: 5 Points
Miami ST/D: Win: 8 Points

Weekly record: 6-5
Season record: 42-30 (59%)

Duds

L. Tomlinson: Loss: 21 Points
J. Lewis: Win: 3 Points
K. Smith: Win: 4 Points
M. Sims-Walker: Loss: 10 Points
J. Knox: Win: 2 Points
S. Moss: Win: 0 Points
C. Palmer: Win: 7 Points
D. Garrard: Loss: 17 Points
J. Witten: Win: 4 Points

Weekly record: 6-3
Season record: 45-16 (74%)

Scoring System:

A win for a QB will be 14+ points
A win for a RB will be 10+ points
A win for a WR will be 7+ points
A win for a TE will be 7+ points
A win for a D/ST will be 8+ points
A win for a K will be 8+ points

Of course it’s the opposite for the duds.

Week 11

STUDS

Ricky Williams at Carolina
Positional Rank: 11

Ricky gets a chance to be the primary ball handler for the first time since his return from exile two years ago and he gets quite the match up to excel in. Carolina ranks 25th against the run and the Dolphins will try to get the ball to Williams every chance they get in order to limit Chad Henne’s mistakes. Ricky was a fringe starter this year but it’s time to get him into the line up.

Lesean McCoy at Chicago
Positional Rank: 12

McCoy should be the primary back, ahead of Leonard “Dream” Weaver, and walks into a great situation against the defensively challenged Bears. He may not get the carries that most feature backs will get but he’ll be heavily involved in the passing game and that should lead to some big production.

Beanie Wells at St. Louis
Positional Rank: 13

Beanie is still singing backup vocals to Tim Hightower but has taken full advantage of his carries over the past few weeks. He’s been running with authority and now gets to take advantage of a sieve-like Rams defense. I like the Cards to score tons of points this week and for Wells to get into scoring parade.

Santana Moss at Dallas
Positional Rank: 20

Despite my massive distain for Santana Moss it’s hard to over look his track record when playing at Dallas. In his past four games at Dallas, Moss has 26 catches for 494 yards and 4 touchdowns. That kind of production will get you recognized. While Moss has been dreadful this season, if you’ve kept him to this point you’ll want to use him.

Calvin Johnson vs. Cleveland
Positional Rank: 10

Megatron looked close to full health last week and turned in a pretty good game against the Minnesota. This week he gets Cleveland and should finally turn in one of those huge games you expected when you grabbed him on draft day.

Wes Welker vs. New York Jets
Positional Rank: 5

There’s lots to like about Welker this week. Randy Moss was shut down by Revis in week two and Brady relied heavily on Welker’s replacement Julian Edelman who finished with 8-98, despite a few drops. The Jets have problems covering number two receivers and there is no better secondary option ion the league than Welker. He should out produce Edelman’s week two line and add a TD to it. He’ll be more valuable than Moss this week.

Vince Young at Houston
Positional Rank: 16

Vince Young has not done better against any other opponent than division rival Houston over his brief four year career. Young is 3-0 and has at least two touchdowns in every meeting. Expect a passing and rushing touchdown from Young who seems at have the Texans number.

Josh Freeman vs. New Orleans
Positional Rank: 18

This one may seem a little nuts but the Saints have become a user friendly defense to start your players against in the past few weeks. Freeman has looked poised beyond his years in his first two starts and should put up some good numbers if you really need the help.

Kellen Winslow vs. New Orleans
Positional Rank: 7

The emergence of Freeman has been great for Winslow. There’s nothing better for a young quarterback than a sure handed, big body who can catch passes underneath. Winslow fits the bill. He has scored double digit points in two straight and should make it three this week.

Cincinnati D/ST at Oakland

Starting a defense that plays the Raiders is usually a good idea. The bad news is that JaMarcus Russell is out at starter. The good news is that Bruce Gradkowski will replace him. In a relief appearance last week, Gradkowski threw for 49 yards and 22 picks. Unfortunately for the Raiders, this is actually a step up. Start the Bengals D and reap the rewards.

DUDS

Jonathan Stewart vs. Miami
Positional Rank: 25

I covered this in my weekly preview. I’m going with the trend and saying the Daily Show is going on hiatus this week. Sit him.

Ryan Grant vs. San Francisco
Positional Rank: 27

The 49ers bring their 3rd ranked run defense into Lambeau with every intention of shutting down Ryan Grant. I remember a time when the 49ers shut down Adrian Peterson in Minnesota, Grant is no Peterson.

Joseph Addai at Baltimore
Positional Rank: 28

Baltimore is still tough to run on and that doesn’t bode well for Addai , who is among the league’s worst in yards per carry. Unless he scores some short yardage touchdowns, he’ll be pretty ineffective.

Chad Ochocinco at Oakland
Positional Rank: 24

One word: Nnamdi. Don't expect too much here.

Nate Burleson at Minnesota
Positional Rank: 33

Burleson may have the “playing his former team” advantage but he has just been brutal on the road. He hasn’t eclipsed seven fantasy points in any road game this year. Don’t expect too much here against a quality Vikings’ defense.

Matt Ryan at New York Giants
Positional Rank: 19

He hasn’t had double digit points in four straight weeks now and is now is reprising his role as a DUD this week. The Giants can be thrown on but I suspect that they made the proper adjustments on their bye week. Sit Ryan.

Carson Palmer at Oakland
Positional Rank: 15

This one is will really be determined on whether Cedric Benson plays or not. If Benson is in, he should run ramped over the Raiders, leaving Carsino very little to do against an underrated Oakland secondary. There are far better options than Palmer this week, use one of them instead.

Jeremy Shockey at Tampa Bay
Positional Rank: 11

He hasn’t really been targeted the last few games and I’ll stick with that trend. I think the Saints will keep the ball on the ground and pound the Bucs into submission. So unless shockey lines up at full back, don’t trust him this week.

Thursday Night Preview

Miami at Carolina

The Dolphins travel north to Bank of America Stadium winners of four of their last six for a date with the equally resurgent Panthers. One problem: Mr. Wildcat himself, Ronnie Brown has been placed on the IR and is out for the year. What does this mean for everyone’s favorite gimmick offense? Who knows. Brown handles the Wildcat snap about 75% of the time, so that leaves the Dolphins with one of three options: Hope Ricky Williams can step in and run the Wildcat seamlessly; a lethal does of Pat White and the “WildPat”; or exclusively rely on Chad Henne to play an entire game as a real quarterback. I’ll bet we’ll see more of Henne under centre with direct orders to hand the ball off Ricky to pound the Panthers 25th ranked run defense. For fantasy purposes on Miami’s side, Williams is about the only guy you can really feel comfortable starting. It’s a really nice match up. If you’re streaming defenses, you may want to take a flyer on the Phins’ defense as they get to face the prince of turnovers Jake Delhomme, he’s passed the torch to Jay Cutler. If your league counts return stats, Miami’s defense is upgraded with Ted Ginn a threat to score every time the ball is kicked to him.

On the other side of the ball, Jake Delhomme gets a nice match up against a young secondary but are you really going to put your trust in Delhomme? Didn’t think so. Steve Smith made a cameo last week catching two touchdowns and should be a viable number two option this week. Despite having the 7th ranked run defense you have to go with DeAngelo Williams solely based on his big play ability. Williams was a guy who I thought had bust written all over him this preseason but has quietly been one the best backs in fantasy. Since a poor performance in week 5 against Washington, Williams has been on a tear, scoring in double digits the last five games. Jonathan Stewart is a different case all together. If you like playing trends, this is your week to sit the Daily Show. The Panthers had their bye in week four and Stewart has traded bad performances with great ones every week. the past six weeks Stewart has put up 9, 15, 4, 20, 1, and 20 points. If this pace keeps up, he’s in line for about 2-5 points this week. It’s not a good match up but you really never know. You should have better options on your team. If not, wondering whether or not to start Jonathan Stewart is the least of your concerns.

This is a crucial game for both teams if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive. Despite the absence of Ronnie Brown, I like the Dolphins to sneak out a road win on a short week.

Picks
Mayo: Miami (+3)
Anderson: Miami (+3)

Wednesday, November 18, 2009

Week 11 WR Rankings

1 Larry Fitzgerald vs. STL
2 Andre Johnson vs. TEN
3 Reggie Wayne @ BAL
4 Vincent Jackson @ DEN
5 Wes Welker vs. NYJ
6 Marques Colston @ TB
7 DeSean Jackson @ CHI
8 Sidney Rice vs. SEA
9 Roddy White @ NYG
10 Calvin Johnson vs. CLE
11 Brandon Marshall vs. SD
12 Anquan Boldin @ STL
13 Randy Moss vs. NYJ
14 Hines Ward @ KC
15 Miles Austin vs. WAS
16 Donald Driver vs. SF
17 Steve Smith (NYG) vs. ATL
18 Devin Hester vs. PHI
19 Mike Sims-Walker vs. BUF
20 Santana Moss @ DAL
21 Derrick Mason vs. IND
22 TJ Houshmandzadeh @ MIN
23 Santonio Holmes @ KC
24 Chad Ochocinco @ OAK
25 Steve Smith (CAR) vs. MIA
26 Michael Crabtree @ GB
27 Greg Jennings vs. SF
28 Austin Collie @ BAL
29 Jerricho Cotchery @ NE
30 Percy Harvin vs. SEA
31 Vern Coles @ OAK
32 Braylon Edwards @ NE
33 Nate Burleson @ MIN
34 Lee Evans @ JAX
35 Terrell Owens @ JAX
36 Steve Breaston @ STL
37 Jeremy Maclin @ CHI
38 Kevin Walter vs. TEN
39 Hakeem Hicks vs. ATL
40 Mike Wallace @ KC
41 Mario Manningham vs. ATL
42 Devone Bess @ CAR
43 Roy Williams vs. WAS
44 Robert Meachum @ TB
45 Lance Long vs. PIT
46 Nate Washington vs. HOU
47 Eddie Royal vs. SD
48 Chris Chambers vs. PIT
49 Torry Holt vs. BUF
50 Bernard Berrian vs. SEA

Injured:

Dwayne Bowe - Suspended for the next four games for using a banned diuretic.

Justin Gage- Out again this week with broken bones in his back. Ouch!

Week 11 QB Rankings

1 Kurt Warner @ STL
2 Peyton Manning @ BAL
3 Drew Brees @ TB
4 Matt Schaub vs. TEN
5 Tom Brady vs. NYJ
6 Brett Favre vs. SEA
7 Aaron Rogers vs. SF
8 Philip Rivers @ DEN
9 Tony Romo vs. WAS
10 Donovan McNabb @ CHI
11 Ben Roethlisberger @ KC
12 Joe Flacco vs. IND
13 Matt Hasselbeck @ MIN
14 Jay Cutler vs. PHI
15 Carson Palmer @ OAK
16 Vince Young @ HOU
17 David Garrard vs. BUF
18 Josh Freeman vs. NO
19 Matt Ryan @ NYG
20 Alex Smith @ GB

Week 11 TE Rankings

1 Dallas Clark @ BAL
2 Brent Celek @ CHI
3 Vernon Davis @ GB
4 Greg Olsen vs. PHI
5 Antonio Gates @ DEN
6 Tony Gonzalez @ NYG
7 Kellen Winslow vs. NO
8 John Carlson @ MIN
9 Heath Miller @ KC
10 Jason Witten vs. WAS
11 Jeremy Shockey @ NO
12 Tony Scheffler vs. SD
13 Fred Davis @ DAL
14 Visanthe Shiancoe vs. SEA
15 Kevin Boss vs. ATL

Week 11 RB Rankings

1 Chris Johnson @ HOU
2 Maurice Jones-Drew vs. BUF
3 Adrian Peterson vs. SEA
4 Ray Rice vs. IND
5 Cedric Benson @ OAK*****
6 Rashard Mendenhall @ KC
7 Steven Jackson vs. ARZ
8 Brandon Jacobs vs. ATL
9 Frank Gore @ GB
10 DeAngelo Williams vs. MIA
11 Ricky Williams @ CAR
12 LeSean McCoy @ CHI
13 Chris Wells @ STL
14 Thomas Jones @ NE
15 Kevin Smith vs. CLE
16 Knowshon Moreno vs. SD
17 Matt Forte vs. PHI
18 Ladell Betts @ DAL
19 Marian Barber III vs. WAS
20 Pierre Thomas @ TB
21 Steve Slaton vs. TEN
22 Jamal Lewis @ DET
23 LaDainian Tomlinson @ DEN
24 Justin Forsett @ MIN
25 Jonathan Stewart vs. MIA
26 Jammal Charles vs. PIT
27 Ryan Grant vs. SF
28 Joseph Addai @ BAL
29 Jason Snelling @ NYG
30 Tim Hightower @ STL
31 Reggie Bush @ TB
32 Darren Sproles @ DEN
33 Ahmad Bradshaw vs. ATL
34 Marshawn Lynch @ JAX
35 Correll Buckhalter vs. SD
36 Ryan Moats vs. TEN
37 Fred Jackson @ JAX
38 Felix Jones vs. WAS
39 Carnell Williams vs. NO
40 Laurence Maroney vs. NYJ


*****- Injuries

Brian Westbrook- suffered his second concussion in three weeks and his season appears to be finished.

Clinton Portis- A Concussion will keep Portis out of the line up again this week. Ladell Betts will replace him in the starting lineup.

Michael Turner- suffered a high ankle sprain and will likely miss a few weeks. Jason Snelling seems like he’ll be the starter but don’t sleep on Jerious Norwood who should return from injury this week. Keep an eye on the situation.

Ronnie Brown- his ankle will keep him out for the short week and will hopefully be back to take advantage of great week 12 match up at Buffalo

Cedric Benson- A strained hip muscle took Benson out of the game last week but appears like he will play this week at Oakland. This is a great match but make sure he’s playing on Sunday before committing to him. Bernard Scott should get the carries if Benson is unable to go. If this a lingering injury, you may want to take a flyer on the newly signed Larry Johnson and stash him on your bench.

Julius Jones- A broken rib led to bleeding in his lung, not good stuff there. Justin Forsett will start in his place and could replace him for the rest of the season.

Tuesday, November 17, 2009

AL/NL Manager of the year

With the announcement of the Manager of the Year awards coming up the next two days I thought it a little review wouldn't hurt.

Manager of the Year

National League

The Contenders

Fredi Gonzalez: Florida Marlins; record 87-75

Fredi brings his own brand of Latino Justice to the clubhouse

Gonzalez held his young team together in the month of May which could have set a destructive pace for the rest of the year. On April 19th, the pubescent Marlins were in first place at a sizzling 11-1 after drawing the Nationals six of the season’s first nine games. On May 24th, The Marlins were reeling from losing 22 of 29; sitting slightly above Washington at the cellar of the NL East, with a 18-23 record. In what could have been the start of deadly tailspin, Gonzalez was able to correct the ship, with what one could only imagine by twisting the jib, and keep Florida in the race well into September. Florida had no reason to be competitive this year but was able to get the most out of its good, but raw young players. There was talk during the season that Marlins’ management was looking to replace Gonzalez at season's end; they really should have been in talks for a contract extension.

Jim Tracy: Colorado Rockies; record 92-70 (74-42 under Tracy)

loses points for stealing Cito Gaston's sitting style

The Rockies were 18-28 on May 29th when Jim Tracy was named manager on an interim basis, replacing Clint Hurdle. Tracy proved to be the right man for the 2009 Rockies. Under Tracy, Colorado was able win the Wild Card and challenge the Dodgers for the division right up until baseball’s last weekend. They were just outclassed by a better team in the playoffs but these awards are supposed to reflect the regular season, which many find are to believe. From the day he took over in Denver, the Rockies posted the best record in all of baseball, 32 games above the .500 mark and that should still give him enough cred for the award.

Tony La Russa: St. Louis Cardinals; record 91-71

The former lawyer was only ejected once this season; he's still got the touch

People forget the question marks that surrounded his team in the spring. Can Adam Wainwright really be relied on to lead this rotation? Could Chris Carpenter regain his Cy Young form after missing most of the last two seasons? And the most important question: would the game’s best player be able to retain his abilities after undergoing surgery to repair a nerve in his right elbow that had caused him problems all last season? Fortunately for the Cardinals, the answer to all three were a resounding Y-E-S. The Cardinals received some help from unexpected places: Joel Pinero chipped in with 15 wins. Journeyman Ryan Franklin assumed the role of closer and posted 38 Saves with a 1.92 era. The acquisition of Matt Holliday at the trade deadline was a huge boon for the line up tallying .353, 13 HR and 55 RBI in 63 games. Put those numbers in your line up you have quite the squadron. While he may be a long shot to win the award, the writers could choose to honor La Russa for his decade of achievement. He last won the award in 2002 and his ability to keep a team at the their best season in and season out could factor into this decision.

Joe Torre: Los Angeles Dodgers; record 95-67

he doesn't just manage with his good looks

Despite finishing with the NL’s best record, the Dodgers did it in seemingly unspectacular fashion. After a very hot start, the team had continued success in the post-Manny steroid scandal; the Dodgers basically had a playoff spot locked up by the All-star Break. They coasted the rest of the season and ended up about one week away from losing the division to the Rockies. While you can give him credit essentially clinching a playoff birth mid-season, all the voters will remember at this point is the faltering down the stretch and a quick loss to the Phillies in the NLCS. It may be unfair but this is how it works, he has less than a 1% at best

Winner: Jim Tracy

Only La Russa could possibly upset here, Tracy should walk away with this award under no duress, it’s his to lose. Posting a sparkling 0.638 winning percentage and a playoff appearance basically places him in the Usain Bolt role, no one’s catching Tracy.

American League

Ron Gardenhire: Minnesota Twins; record 87-76

he ran out of Skoal and needed to get to the store, post haste

Gardenhire rallied the troops to a 16-4 mark to end the year and force a one game playoff with the Detriot Tigers for the AL Central title. They made up six games in 21 days and beat the Tigers in a thrilling play in game to earn the right to get decimated by the Yankees in the ALDS. This season could have taken a nasty downfall after superstar first baseman Justin Morneau opted for season ending surgery on September 12th but Gardenhire was able to use it as motivation for his Twins. So, for the 5th time in 8 seasons, he was able to lead Minnesota to the Central crown. Despite a lackluster playoff record, Gardenhire should be in line for the award as he has never been recognized before.

Joe Girardi: New York Yankees; record 103-59

here he auditions for the role of Forest Gump's more retarded brother

Girardi led the Bronx Bombers to the best record in baseball as they were the only team to eclipse 100 wins in 2009. Unfortunately for Girardi, most don’t see it as a crowning achievement, leading the Yankees to the best record that is. Another black mark for Joey G is his 2006 NL Manager of the Year Award, which he received in Florida and then was promptly fired. Writers may be unwilling to bestow the award on such a green manager again so quickly. The problem I have with these arguments is that they discredit the excellent job Girardi did all season long. Being the manger of New York requires more to handle than just baseball; he must deal with the media scrutiny and diva personalities that the Yankees’ roster boasts. He was able to manage those personalities and mitigate the problems that could have come with A-Rod and his steroid scandal. He had the ship righted all season long and has kept it going into the playoffs. There’s really no reason not to give it to him but I have an inclination that this isn’t his year.

Mike Scioscia: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim; record 97-55

Scioscia after being told that red is slimming

Another year, another AL West division crown for Scioscia’s Angels; that’s six in the last eight years if you're keeping track at home. He falls in the same category as Tony La Russa but in the American League. If he wins, it will be an achievement award for his decade of success. Unfortunately, the banality of Scioscia as the winner may factor into the writers’ decision to pass on him this season. There’s really no reason not to give him the award, he led a team plagued with injuries to a 97-65 record and was the glue his team needed after the death of pitcher Nick Adenhart during the season’s first week. People know he’s a great manager and was rewarded in 2002 but this award tends to be given to a manager that brings a team from obscurity to prominence, I guess they believe that consistency is overrated.

Jim Leyland: Detroit Tigers; record 86-77

Leyland: doing his part to get a cameo on Mad Men

Jim Leyland’s 2009 Tigers were much like the last cigarette from a pack of his beloved Marlboros Reds; good to the last puff but ultimately discarded. The 95 looking, 64 year old had his team fighting until the very end but were unable to vanquish the rival Twins in the team’s 163rd game. Hopes weren’t high for the Tigers coming into the year but Leyland was able to make overachievers out of his players. He brings a passion to the game like no other, who else takes 7th inning smoke breaks in the clubhouse, and it seems to have seeped into his players. They all love to play for him which is an intangible that a lot of teams wish their manager could bring, it’s basically half the battle. Losing the division title on the last weekend combined with his victory in 2006 will probably take him out of the race but he deserves to be mentioned nonetheless.

Winner: Ron Gardenhire:

The combination of their comeback and character, as the plucky small market team who competes every year, should tip the scales in favor of Gardenhire. He may not be the most deserving but the writers will make themselves feel good by voting for him and the decision rests with them.

Monday, November 16, 2009

Sunday recap- Week 10

What a terrible Sunday it was for starting running backs. Cedric Benson, Julius Jones, Ronnie Brown, Brian Westbrook and Michael Tuner all checked in at the triage unit, ruining the week for many fantasy owners.

Fred Jackson used his rocket laser arm to find Lee Evans in the first quarter against the Titans. It was easily the best pass that has been thrown out of the Wildcat to date.

Bill Belichick definitely has egg on his face today. Belichick decided to go for it, 4th and 2 from the Pats’ own 28 and turned it over on downs. This was with just over two minutes left and up by only six. He is getting killed from everyone for the poor decision that cost them the game but was it really that bad of a decision? I liked the call. Sure it didn’t work out but putting the ball in the hands of the Brady to get you two yards is as close to a sure things as you can get. If they get the first down, it’s game over and Manning doesn’t get the chance to touch the ball. I don’t think it had to do with a lack of faith in the defense but an incredible belief in the offense. The Pats gained 450 yards on offense in the game, whats another two? My problem comes from the play selection. I just don't understand get why they passed to Faulk and not Welker or Moss.
Was it a poor decision? Sure it was but only because it didn’t work. If the Pats get the first down and ice the game, Belichick is hailed for another genius call. Hopefully, if the opportunity arises again for this type of call he won’t be hasty in pulling the trigger on it.

LT looked in vintage form against the Eagles. Well, sort of. On Tomlinson’s second touchdown run he basically walked 20 yards untouched into the end zone. Two touchdowns are nice but Tomlinson is still to get over the 100 yard mark for the season. Don’t get your hopes up that LT is back to vintage form.

In what I called the Shootout of the Week, Dallas turned in their worst performance of the year at Green Bay. If I ever suggest that you take an over in any game, just play the opposite. You’ll win that way.

Jamaal Charles broke out in a big way. Now it was against the Raiders but it was encouraging to see him have success. It doubled the carries of Kolby Smith and tripled the yards. Charles has some nice match ups on the horizon, grab him if he’s still out there.

The Goat of the Day Award does not go to MJD for his voluntary kneel down on the one yard line. You Can’t be too upset with MJD, he finished the day with 145 total yards and a touchdown. Demanding more is just greedy. The real goat was the Saints’ Marques Colston. Colston finished the day with a quality -1 fantasy points when it should have been a at least 8. In his best match up of the year, Colston decided that there was no particular reason to try in this game. When he finally got involved, he made a b-line for the end zone and promptly fumbled on the one yard line. The ball went through the end zone for a touchback and his -1 day.

He may only show up three times a year but Jason Avant has some serious skills. He made one of the season’s best catches on Sunday. But don’t pick him up, after a 156 yard day, he won’t eclipse 50 for another seven games or so.

The Award for Best Name for someone who had an interception was Cincinnati’s Frostee Ruckers. The Snowman picked off Big Ben early in the second half which led to one of Shayne Graham’s four field goals. With this win, I officially concede that I’ve been wrong about the Bengals all year, they’re for real. That defense is awesome. Now that I’ve said this they’ll spite me and lose out.

Along with Frostee Ruckers, I think it’s important to award players from all facets of the game. So the best name on offense belongs to Skins running back Rock Cartwright. Doesn’t he just sound hard to tackle? Obviously that’s not the case since he’s a back up on Washington. Special teams name of the year goes to the Colts TJ Rushing. It was a contest between Rushing and Ma’Sev Returns, who is of course is made up.

I really need ray rice to have a huge game tonight. I have a lot of games that hinge on his success. Can he do it? Of course he can, he’s fantasy MVP Ray Rice.

Larry Johnson signed with the Bengals, I may have to retract my previous statements declaring that Cinny is for real.

Chris Johnson is one pace to have one the best rushing seasons of all time. Johnson has 130+ yards and 2 touchdowns in three straight weeks, he gets Houston next week, expect him to keep it going.

It’s beginning to look it Beanie Wells is the back you want going forward in Arizona. Tim Hightower still has value but Wells is now getting more yards to go with his more touches. If the TDs can follow, like this week, he’ll have incredible value from here on out.

The Broncos defense regressed to their 2008 form yesterday. They may need to practice tackling this week. Speaking of bad defense, there’s no need to leave this game. How does Brandon Marshall get that open the second time? Denver just ran the identical play about four minutes before. I guess the same play churns out the same result.

I loved the trick plays that Bills and Redskins used this week but you’re in a world of hurt on offense if this is the only way you can score. Trick plays are the trademark of bad teams.

I guess the jets are awful. How do you come off a bye and get beat down by the Jags at home? Unacceptable.

With Josh Freeman at quarterback the Buckos do look better. At least they’re competitive now. Freeman loves passing to his safety valve at tight end. From here on out Kellen Winslow is a must start every week. See if you can grab him cheap right now before his stats get too impressive.

Injuries

Ronnie Brown (Ankle)- Brown left the game with an ankle sprain and appeared using crutches on the sidelines later in the game. Bad news for all Brown owners as he has a pretty soft upcoming schedule but probably won’t be ready for Thursday night at Carolina. There’s no news yet about the long term damage but when asked for his medical opinion Dr. Ronnie Brown commented, “ I don’t think it’s too bad”. All this is great news for Ricky Williams owners who stands to be a feature back for the first time since his stint with the Toronto Argonauts.

Brain Westbrook (Head)- Westbrook left the game with his second concussion in three weeks. He may be out for the rest of the season. Go grab LeSean McCoy, he’s available in only 7% of league. Hope that you’re in one of those seven percent.

Julius Jones ( Lung)- He got hit so hard his lung started to bleed. It’s really a testament to inability to make people miss. This may be the last we see of Sir Julius this season.


Michael Turner (Ankle) The Burner rolled his ankle against the Panthers and didn’t return. He’s getting an MRI sometime Monday so we’ll know more soon. From seeing the injury, it looks like he’ll miss some time.

Cedric Benson (Hip)- Benson’s a tough guy. He tried to return to the game after leaving with his hip. Out of all the injuries this one seems to be the least serious. Or so it appears right now. He’ll be 50/50 to go next week against Oakland. Lets hope he plays.

Kyle Orton (Ankle)- he was having a great game and then forgot that when quarterbacks run the ball, they’re encouraged to slide. There’s a reason for that, it’s to prevent this injury. Chris Simms came in to replace him and put up what you’d expect, 3/13, 13 yards, INT. You want no part of Simms and he’ll kill the value of Marshall and that entire offense when he’s in.

Pick ups of the week

Justin Forsett (1% owned)- He’s the guy for the foreseeable future in Seattle, with Julius ones out. His explosive speed makes him a threat on every play, on the ground and through the air. Use your waiver priority on him.

Jason Snelling (0% owned) Too bad Jerious Norwood is injured, this could have been his long awaited opportunity. The starting gig now gets thrown into the lap of Jason Snelling. Atlanta has a good O-Line and should provide Snelling the opportunity to get some gains. He’s a nice addition while Turner is out.

Jamaal Charles (36% owned) It looks like he’s the guy in KC. Go grab him.

Bernard Scott (0% owned) if you own Benson you need to pick up Scott incase the injury to Benson is more serious than expected.

Beanie Wells (64% owned) he scored twice and got the bulk of carries for the Cardinals. He has the possibility of being the Fantasy Playoffs MVP with Detroit and St. Louis in weeks 15 & 16.

Jerricho Cotchery (71% Owned) hauled in a touchdown this week and was on the receiving end of 12 Franchez targets. That mean’s he was able to catch 6 of them. Since he returned from injury he’s posted some nice games, take a gander to see if he’s still stilling out there in your league.

NL CY Young preview

NL Cy Young

Contenders

Tim Lincecum: San Francisco Giants
225.1 IP in 32 starts
15-7, 2.48 era, 1.05 WHIP, 261 K, .206 BAA

Lincecum is fresh off a CY Young award last season and has pitched himself into contention again this year. Tiny Tim finished in the top five in the NL’s top five pitching categories: Wins, ERA, WHIP, Strikeouts, and batting average against. He actually improved in era, WHIP, and BAA from a year ago and seems poised to take another pitching crown. He really only receives demerits for his record but that can be attributed to playing for the offensively challenged Giants. Despite being only 25 years old, he is the most feared hill topper in the Senior Circuit. All this should help him claim his second straight CY Young but the cards may not fall in his favor this year with two competitors who are equally as deserving.

Chris Carpenter: St. Louis Cardinals
192.2 IP in 28 starts
17-4, 2.24 era, 1.01 WHIP, 144 K, .226 BAA

What a comeback year for the former Cy Young winner. After making only five starts over the last two seasons, Carpenter came back with a vengeance in 2009, forming one half of baseball’s best 1-2 tandem. Carpenter finished with the NL’s best era and winning percentage (.810), while finishing in second in wins and WHIP. Already the recipient of the NL Comeback player of the Year award, Carpenter may be a sentimental choice for the award. Every time he took the mound this season he gave the Cardinals a chance to win and that is crucial to winning this award. His detractors will point to his low strikeout total, 144, but blissfully ignore is staggeringly low walk total, 38, which was the least per inning of any pitcher in baseball. He has the vitals to take this award but there is fierce competition this year, even from his own team.

Adam Wainwright: St. Louis Cardinals
233.0 IP in 34 starts
19-8, 2.63 era, 1.21 WHIP, 212 K, .237 BAA

The National League’s wins leader has made a smooth transition from bullpen to dominant major league starter. While his vitals may not match up to the supremacy of Lincecum and Carpenter’s, he led the NL in two of the most overlooked stats, games started and innings pitched. Being reliable all season long may give him the boost he needs to upset for this award. Ultimately, being the second best pitcher on his own team will leave him on the outside looking in this year.

Should Win: Tim Lincecum
Will Win: Tim Lincecum

Despite his recent charge for pot possession, the National League has a history of awarding the same pitcher multiple years in a row, Greg Maddox 92-95 and Randy Johnson 99-02. Lincecum has the dominating stuff to win this award every year for next decade, look for him to collect Cy Young #2 for 2009.

Saturday, November 14, 2009

Sunday Preview with week 10 Spread Picks

Last week against he spread

Mayo: 6-7
Anderson: 8-5

Year to date

Mayo: 35-31-1
Anderson: 33-33-1

1:00pm

Atlanta at Carolina

Mayo: Atlanta (-1.5)
Anderson: Atlanta (-1.5)

Keep an eye on DeAngelo Williams. He sat out Friday’s practice with a sore knee and is now listed as questionable for the game. If he sits out, Jonathan Stewart gets a significant bump and becomes a top tier option at running back against a bad Falcon defense.

Tampa Bay at Miami

Mayo: Miami (-10)
Anderson: Miami (-10)

If you’re desperate at receiver, Sammie Stroughter has 6+ fantasy points in three straight games and gets a soft match up against the Dolphins secondary.

Detroit at Minnesota

Mayo: Minnesota (-17)
Anderson: Minnesota (-17)

Calvin Johnson should be back to full health this week but will need some help from a struggling Matt Stafford. Megatron scored his only touchdown in the previous match up with the Vikings back in week 2.

Jacksonville at New York Jets

Mayo: New York (-6.5)
Anderson: New York (-6.5)

Darrelle Revis has shut down Andre Johnson, Randy Moss, and Marques Colston so far this year. Mike Sims-Walker is good but he’s not an elite talent, Rives will keep him from doing too much.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

Mayo: Pittsburgh (-7)
Anderson: Cincinnati (+7)

After their two great corners, the Bengals secondary is actually pretty terrible. Watch out for rookie Mike “60 minutes” Wallace. He can provide some help to your receiving corps this week if you need a boost. He has at least 50 yards in four straight and touchdowns in three straight.

New Orleans at St. Louis

Mayo: New Orleans (-13.5)
Anderson: St. Louis (+13.5)

The Rams rank 23rd against the pass, 27th against the run, and 29th in points allowed per game. Offensively, the Saints rank 4th in passing, 5th on the ground, and 1st in points scored. If there ever was a week to take advantage of a match up, this is it. If you need some high upside sleepers to fill out the line for this week so you could a lot worse than Devry Henderson, Robert Meachum, or Mike Bell.

Buffalo at Tennessee

Mayo: Tennessee (-6.5)
Anderson: Tennessee (-6.5)

Justin Gage will miss the next four weeks with broken bones in his back. Keep an eye on Nate Washington and Kenny Britt to see who emerges to grab some of the ten passes at Vince Young attempts a week.

Denver at Washington

Mayo: Denver (-3.5)
Anderson: Denver (-3.5)

Clinton Portis will miss the game with a concussion leaving the door wide open for Ladell Betts to get the full work load. A feature back in any offense is highly valuable in the era of platoons, so Betts makes a good start the next few weeks while Portis sits out. This week does not provide the greatest match up but you have to play him over low end platoon options.

4:00 pm

Kansas City at Oakland

Mayo: Oakland (+1.5)
Anderson: Kansas City (-1.5)

This line basically dares you to take the Chiefs so I’ll follow conventional gambling rules and bet against it. GO RAIDERS!

Seattle at Arizona

Mayo: Arizona (-8.5)
Anderson: Arizona (-8.5)

Despite the great match up on paper, Matt Hasselbeck laid a hug egg back in week 6 when the Cards traveled North. So don’t salivate too much over his possibilities this week.

Dallas at Green Bay

Mayo: Dallas (-3)
Anderson: Dallas (-3)

Tony Romo is slightly above average in November. Despite my November confidence in Romo, I am conflicted about this game. I think this will be the shoot out of the week but every time I declare that, it’s always a defensive battle. But this a match up of the 5th and 7th highest scoring teams, expect fireworks.

Philadelphia at San Diego

Mayo: San Diego (-2)
Anderson: Philadelphia (+2)

This should be a nice rebound game for Antonio Gates as Philly really struggles covering the pass up the middles. Gates’ size advantage against the speedy but undersized Eagle line backing corps provides a juicy match up for the under performing tight end.

8:15 pm

New England at Indianapolis

Mayo: New England (+3)
Anderson: Indianapolis (-3)

Stay away form betting this game unless you have some inside information. Many are dubbing this the Game of the Year and they may be right. This is as closely matched as these teams have been in years which should provide a nice high scoring, close affair. I’ll take the points.

Monday Night

Baltimore at Cleveland

Mayo: Baltimore (+10.5)
Anderson: Baltimore: (+10.5)

I’d take the Ravens by 25 in this one. Covering only 10.5 should be a piece of cake.

Thursday, November 12, 2009

Studs and Duds- week 10

Last Week

Studs

J. Jones: Win: 17 Points
J. Charles: Loss: 8 Points
N. Burleson: Win: 7 Points
M. Crabtree: Loss: 3 Points
D. Bowe: Win: 7 Points
A. Smith: Win: 16 Points
M. Hasselbeck Win: 17 Points
V. Davis: Win: 10 Points
Green Bay ST/D: Loss: 2 Points

Weekly record: 6-3
Season record: 36-25 (60%)

Duds

L. Tomlinson: Win: 3 Points
J. Addai: Loss: 23 Points
S. Smith: Win: 6 Points
B. Marshall: Loss: 11 Points
B. Roethlisberger: Loss: 18 Points
K. Orton: Win: 6 Points
H. Miller: Win: 1 Point

Weekly record: 4-3
Season record: 39-13 (75%)

Scoring System:

A win for a QB will be 14+ points
A win for a RB will be 10+ points
A win for a WR will be 7+ points
A win for a TE will be 7+ points
A win for a D/ST will be 8+ points
A win for a K will be 8+ points

Of course it’s the opposite for the duds.

Week 10

STUDS

Thomas Jones vs. Jacksonville
Positional Rank: 8

Fresh off a bye, Thomas Jones and the Jets get a top flight match up with the Jags, who come north to mix it up in the Swamp. Jacksonville brings their 22nd ranked run defense to New York in a vein attempt to halt Jets and their number one ranked rushing attack. Mark Sanchez has yet to prove that he can play effectively in cold weather scenarios, so look for a heavy dose Jones. Before the bye, Jones is coming off games of 210, 121, and 102 rushing yards, taking advantage of good match ups along the way. Jones should turn in a highly emphatic performance this weekend, so get him in the lineup.

Pierre Thomas at St. Louis
Positional Rank: 9

Lucky Pierre has reestablished himself on the good end of the backfield timeshare in New Orleans and that should pay huge dividends this week as the Saints clash with the lowly Rams. St. Louis, owners of the 27th ranked run defense, have problems stopping teams in every facet of the game and will be at odds to stop Thomas and the Saints run game. It wouldn’t surprise anyone to see the Bad Boys of the Bayou post a sixty burger on the Rams this week and everyone should get involved. Thomas may see this as an excellent opportunity to bolster is personal stats for the year. Start him.

Ronnie Brown vs. Tampa Bay
Positional Rank: 12

Tampa has problems stopping the run. That may actually be an understatement. The Bucs cede 163 ypg on the ground and are a terrible match up for the run happy Dolphins. The Wildcat has made Ronnie Brown into a fantasy dynamo now that he gets the ball in his hands for around 50% of the snaps. Given that opportunity this week, Brown will run wild(cat) all over Tampa. Hopefully, recreational drug enthusiast Ricky Williams won’t pilfer away too many scores.


Marques Colston at St. Louis
Positional Rank: 5

Despite suffering through the flu, not swine related, Colston is not supposed to miss action on Sunday. This is good news for Colston owners everywhere as he’ll get to take advantage of what is arguably his best match up of the season. The Rams secondary won’t know what to do with Colston and his huge frame, Brees will be looking his way on almost every play inside the 20. Take advantage here.

Sidney Rice vs. Detroit
Positional Rank: 10

Except the Vikings to light up the scoreboard this week when the submissive Lions come to town. This is great news for Sidney Rice. Minnesota’s big play receiver should have a field day, complete with orange drink, against the 31st ranked pass defense. Although Rice only went for 40 yards in week 8, he’s just three weeks removed from back to back 130+ yard days. He should be closer to the latter pace this week.

Derrick Mason at Cleveland
Positional Rank: 16

Mason turned in a poor performance against the Browns in week one but write that off to coming out of retirement rust. Mason is in the swing of things now and looks to take advantage of the Dog Pound Dwellers. He is the most targeted receiver on the Ravens and that should pay off in spades this week. Although he may not get into the end zone, Mason should be good for 8+ catches and 100+ yards.

Alex Smith vs. Chicago
Positional Rank: 11

A late TD pass helped Smith achieve stud status last week but he should accomplish that feat much sooner Thursday night. The Bears defense has deteriorated each week and from hence forward should be considered one of the leagues worst. Smith has shown a propensity to take advantage of porous secondaries and the Bears definitely fit that bill. If you are a Schaub or Manning owner in need of bye week help, you will be happy inserting the former Ute into your lineup.

Joe Flacco at Cleveland
Positional Rank: 6

Flacco’s best fantasy game of the year came in week one against the “mighty” Browns. He threw for three touchdowns and 300+ yards, I envision more of the same this week. Flacco has been substantially than fellow sophomore Matt Ryan and except people may not have realized it yet. A Monday night game against the Browns, on the national stage, should provide Flacco all the ammunition he needs to reverse peoples’ opinions.

Brent Celek at San Diego
Positional Rank: 3

San Diego is just terrible against tight ends. With all the blitz pressure from the 3-4 defense, it makes the Chargers highly susceptible to medium sized passes over the middle. Celek has emerged as a quality week in and week out option and should post huge numbers this week. It seems that whenever McNabb has a good game, Celek follows. And I like McNabb to pass all over the not so super Chargers defense this week.

Dallas D/ST at Green Bay

Although America’s team may let up scores of points, they should make it up in the sack and turnover department. Aaron Rodgers loves to try to extend plays and seems to have little success with it. He has been sacked a league high 37 times and Dallas boasts one of the game’s best blitzing defenses. All that pressure should force Rodgers into some turnovers and possible defensive scores.

Miami D/ST vs. Tampa Bay

I got burned last week betting against Josh Friedman and the Bucs but playing on the road is a different thing. Despite the cheap plane tickets to Miami, Tampa should revert back into playing like the 1-7 team they are. Miami’s defense has one main flaw, the deep pass, and Friedman doesn’t seem ready to start punishing teams downfield. Roll with the Dolphins at home to keep the visitor side of the scoreboard from flickering too much.

DUDS

Ladainian Tomlinson vs. Philadelphia
Positional Rank: 40

Making an appearance in the duds column for the second week running, it is LT. LT will have a terrible week again against the Eagles but no through lack of trying. The Chargers will probably get down in this game because they’ll pass down to the 5 yard line and then give the ball to Tomlinson three straight times before kicking a field goal. They’ll do this once and then wise up to the fact that handing the ball to someone who’s a shell of his former self is awful strategy. Start Sproles instead.

Jamal Lewis vs. Baltimore
Positional Rank: 32

Baltimore is coming off torching at the hands of Cedric Benson, again, and will try to make an example of the Browns running game. Well, the Browns in general. Cleveland is inept on offense, and defense for that matter, and will struggle is make and positive gains on the ground. I’d set the over under for Cleveland first downs at 5.

Kevin Smith at Minnesota
Positional Rank: 25

Unless he gets going in the passing game, don’t look for Smith to help you out too much this week. The Vikes rank 6th against the run and will look to key on Smith with Megatron still dealing with his knee problems. In week 2, Smith was able to eek out 93 total yards on 26 touches. I don’t foresee smith touching the ball 26 times this week. Get him on the bench.

Mike Sims-Walker at New York Jets
Positional Rank: 34

If you have tuned in to any of my previous columns, you’ll know about my expressed adoration for the man with two last names. This week, not so much. Sims-Walker will fall victim to the dreaded DRE: the Darrelle Revis Effect. Revis will shut MSW all day long. I’d start Torry Holt instead this week.

Johnny Knox at San Francisco
Positional Rank: 36

Knox has really taken his foot off the pedal since his nice four game run form weeks 2-6. Although San Fran struggles against the pass, Cutler is looking more to the trio of Olsen, Hester and Bennett recently. Fort Knox should be locked away on the pines this week.

Santana Moss
Positional Rank: 37

Moss is terrible and it shows up every week now. This week he draws the unfortunate task of dealing with Champ Bailey every play. Unless you are really pressed, treat Moss like nuclear waste. Stay away.

Carson Palmer
Positional Rank: 18

Proving my distain wrong most weeks, Carson Palmer is having a really nice comeback season for the Bengals. Regrettably for Palmer, since Troy Polamalu and his dandruff free hair, thanks Head and Shoulders, returned to captain the Steel Curtain, they’ve been a different team. Palmer was dud in his last meeting with the Steelers, it’ll probably be worse this time out.

David Garrard
Positional Rank: 20

I really think the Jags get their asses handed to them in the Meadowlands this week. Don’t expect even a respectable game here from Garrard, who has been a major disappointment over the last few weeks. If he can’t get it done against the Chiefs at home, how can he do it getting stuck in the Swamp?

Jason Witten
Positional Rank: 13

Oh how the mighty have fallen. The consensus top tight end pick coming into the year has killed his owners 8 of 9 weeks. I’m finally getting on the bandwagon proclaiming there are no less than 12 more useful tight end options this week. Use one of them instead.



Thursday Night Preview

Chicago at San Francisco

The Bears bring their horrible defense to the sapphic city for a, presumably same sex, date with the 49ers. It turns out there is a petition in San Fran to forget the prospecting roots of 1849 and update the team name for the city’s current attitude and call the team the 66ers. Gay jokes aside, the Bears are reeling, losing three of their last four. If the 49ers can curb the passing attack of Jay Cutler and friends, spectators will start looking deeper into the name of the stadium, Candlestick Park, and have start making their evening plans because it will be a long day at the park. I like Alex Smith, Frank Gore and Vernon Davis to exploit the swiss-cheese defense that the Bears are sporting these days. Even peripheral contributors like Michael Crabtree and Josh Morgan could get involved on the offensive side. The Bears can keep up with anyone on the offensive side of the ball and that should see big days for Olsen and Hester. If Matt Forte can sneak his way into that passing attack, he too could provide a respectable day. If he is assigned solely to ground duty you may want to look elsewhere, the 49ers rank 4th against the run. I wouldn’t count on Chicago traveling West and putting one in the win column. Go with San Fran giving three at home.

Picks:
Mayo: San Francisco (-3)
Anderson: Chicago (+3)

Week 10 RB Ranks

1 Adrian Peterson vs. DET
2 Chris Johnson vs. BUF
3 Ray Rice @ CLE
4 Michael Turner @ CAR
5 Frank Gore vs. CHI
6 DeAngelo Williams vs. ATL
7 Maurice Jones-Drew @ NYJ
8 Thomas Jones vs. JAX
9 Pierre Thomas @ STL
10 Steven Jackson vs. NO
11 Cedric Benson @ PIT
12 Ronnie Brown vs. TB
13 Ryan Grant vs. DAL
14 Tim Hightower vs. SEA
15 Marian Barber III @ GB
16 Knowshon Moreno @ WAS
17 Ricky Williams vs. TB
18 Matt Forte @ SF
19 Joseph Addai vs. NE
20 Darren Sproles vs. PHI
21 Jammal Charles @ OAK
22 Rashard Mendenhall vs. CIN
23 LeSean McCoy @ SD
24 Julius Jones @ ARZ
25 Kevin Smith @ MIN
26 Jonathan Stewart vs. ATL
27 Ladell Betts vs. DEN
28 Laurence Maroney @ IND
29 Marshawn Lynch @ TEN
30 Correll Buckhalter @ WAS
31 Chester Taylor vs. DET
32 Jamal Lewis vs. BAL
33 Felix Jones @ GB
34 Donald Brown vs. NE
35 Fred Jackson @ TEN
36 Justin Fargas vs. KC
37 Chris Wells vs. SEA
38 Derrick Ward @ MIA
39 Reggie Bush @ STL
40 LaDainian Tomlinson vs. PHI

Byes: Brandon Jacobs, Ahmad Bradshaw, Ryan Moats, Steve Slaton, Chris Brown

Injuries

Brian Westbrook- Was a surprise inactive last week and now has reaggravated his ankle, to add to his problems. Westbrook can’t be trusted to play at this point but keep an eye on his status. If he is playing, you’ll want him in the lineup against a bad Chargers defense.

Clinton Portis- A Concussion will keep Portis out of the line up this week. Ladell Betts will replace him in the starting lineup.

Week 10 WR Ranks

1 Larry Fitzgerald vs. SEA
2 Randy Moss @ IND
3 Reggie Wayne vs. NE
4 Vincent Jackson vs. PHI
5 Marques Colston @ STL
6 Wes Welker @ IND
7 Miles Austin @ GB
8 DeSean Jackson @ SD
9 Roddy White @ CAR
10 Sidney Rice vs. DET
11 Brandon Marshall @ WAS
12 Anquan Boldin vs. SEA
13 Donald Driver vs. DAL
14 Devin Hester @ SF
15 Hines Ward vs. CIN
16 Derrick Mason @ CLE
17 Nate Burleson @ ARZ
18 Greg Jennings vs. DAL
19 Calvin Johnson @ MIN
20 Jerricho Cotchery vs. JAX
21 Michael Crabtree vs. CHI
22 Dwayne Bowe @ OAK
23 Percy Harvin vs. DET
24 Chad Ochocinco @ PIT
25 TJ Houshmandzadeh @ ARZ
26 Steve Smith vs. ATL
27 Braylon Edwards vs. JAX
28 Santonio Holmes vs. CIN
29 Bernard Berrian vs. DET
30 Lee Evans @ TEN
31 Austin Collie vs. NE
32 Steve Breaston vs. SEA
33 Torry Holt @ NYJ
34 Mike Sims-Walker @ NYJ
35 Eddie Royal @ WAS
36 Johnny Knox @ SF
37 Santana Moss vs. DEN
38 Lance Long @ OAK
39 Devry Henderson @ STL
40 Jeremy Maclin @ SD
41 Mark Clayton @ CLE
42 Terrell Owens @ TEN
43 Devone Bess vs. TB
44 Robert Meachum @ STL
45 Justin Gage vs. BUF
46 Nate Washington vs. BUF
47 Roy Williams @ GB
48 Mike Wallace vs. CIN
49 Sammie Straighter @ MIA
50 Isaac Bruce vs. CHI
Bye Weeks: Andre Johnson, Steve Smith, Mario Manningham, Hakeem Hicks, Kevin Walter

Injured:

Anquan Boldin- Looks like he’s getting closer to 100% and seems probable to play this weekend.

Antonio Bryant- Knee problems look like they’ll keep him out of the lineup again this week.

Chris Henry- Out for the season with a broken arm

Week 10 QB Ranks

1 Drew Brees @ STL
2 Aaron Rogers vs. DAL
3 Brett Favre vs. DET
4 Tom Brady @ IND
5 Kurt Warner vs. SEA
6 Joe Flacco @ CLE
7 Peyton Manning vs. NE
8 Tony Romo @ GB
9 Philip Rivers vs. PHI
10 Donovan McNabb @ SD
11 Alex Smith vs. CHI
12 Ben Roethlisberger vs. CIN
13 Matt Hasselbeck @ ARZ
14 Matt Ryan @ CAR
15 Mark Sanchez vs. JAX
16 Jay Cutler @ SF
17 Matt Cassel @ OAK
18 Carson Palmer @ PIT
19 Kyle Orton @ WAS
20 David Garrard @ NYJ
Bye Weeks: Matt Schaub & Eli Manning

Week 10 TE Ranks

1 Dallas Clark vs. NE
2 Vernon Davis vs. CHI
3 Brent Celek @ SD
4 Antonio Gates vs. PHI
5 Tony Gonzalez @ CAR
6 Jeremy Shockey @ STL
7 John Carlson @ ARZ
8 Heath Miller vs. CIN
9 Greg Olsen @ SF
10 Visanthe Shiancoe vs. DET
11 Kellen Winslow @ MIA
12 Tood Heap @ CLE
13 Jason Witten @ GB
14 Fred Davis vs. DEN
15 Brandon Pettigrew @ MIN
Bye Week: Kevin Boss

Monday, November 9, 2009

Sunday Recap - week 9

No one is going 0-16 this year, I guess we shouldn’t have got used to it. I was as stunned as anyone to see the Bucs put up points. It’s really no surprise the Packers did. Despite the 4-4 record, Aaron Rodgers has more than likely led fantasy teams to the top of their leagues. Rodgers overtook Matt Schaub as the number player in fantasy. His worst week was back in week one when he finished with an acceptable 13 points.

If Seattle can beat Arizona next week they’ll be right back in the NFC West race but don't expect that to happen. The Seahawks offense looks unstoppable when they face a bad defense, and yes, we must consider Arizona a good defense at this point. Seattle only gets two good defenses the rest of the season which could make all Seahawks players people to target for here on out.

LT is done. It happens to everyone and, I’m sorry to say, the ride is over. The decade’s best fantasy player is now killing you week in and week out. See if you can sell him for anything at this point, I’m sure you can convince someone that he still has something left. Darren Sproles only had one carry in this game, also five catches, and is absolutely more valuable than Tomlinson from here on out. If the Chargers are serious about a playoff run, Sproles will be manning the back field going forward.

Brain Westbrook didn’t play again this week after a week of talk that he would. Westbrook does this every year but at least he used to play all the time. There can be no way to trust him going forward until we actually see him play a game. Keep him in out of your lineup.

Miles Austin beats the Eagles and saves fantasy teams all in one play. The 49 yard catch kept his touchdown streak alive at four. Austin is the number 4 ranked receiver on the season, despite not starting until week 5. Consider Austin a middle tier number one from here on out.

Larry Johnson has been cut by the Chiefs. No big loss here but it allows the battle between Jamaal Charles and Kolby Smith to surface each week. I still like Charles better.

Portis leaves the game in the first quarter after being on the concussion end of a helmet to helmet hit by Falcons safety Thomas DeCoud. Just another example of French Anti-Americanism. Go add Ladell Betts right now. He’s the Pick up of the Week.

Arizona is now 4-0 on the road. Are they due for a letdown next week against Seattle, at historic University of Phoenix Stadium.

Hope you didn’t have to play against Kurt Warner and Larry Fitzgerald yesterday. I experienced it, twice, and it’s not so much a time when teammates combine for 7 touchdowns. Must have been nice if you had either.

Even when Baltimore players need a mulligan, Ray Rice doesn’t. Rice kept it going again racking up 135 total yards and a TD, while no other Raven finished with above fantasy points. They’ll get back on track next week against Cleveland, no need to worry.

Cedric Benson torched the Ravens again, getting the ball 34 times for 117 yards. He’s now had 71 carries in his last two games. The Bengals need to give him a rest but draw Pittsburgh next week where the game plan will be to control the clock with Benson. All these carries may wear him down by the end of the year, he now has 198 for the year. His previous career high was last season when he had 214, now he’s on a Larry Johnson 2006/2007 pace.

The Texans pulled, well, a Texans against the Colts late in the game. They gave up the lead late and then positioned themselves to force overtime. They then proceeded to miss the ensuing 42 yard field goal. Classic Texans move.

Joseph Addai produced again. That’s double digit points in 7 of 8 weeks now. There is no player having a larger discrepancy between his fantasy year and his real year. He is only averaging 3.4 yards a carry, 48th in the NFL, but continues to get the opportunities, which is sometimes all you need. Addai has been a top 15 back this fantasy season and is seriously undervalued.

Pick Ups of the Week

Ladell Betts (3% owned) - With Portis on the shelf with a concussion for who knows how long, so Betts is now the man in DC. Devotees of fantasy may remember Betts from his 2006 fantasy playoff performace, when he led running backs in points over the last two week filling in for the same Clinton Portis. He’s not a starter but stash him away incase he can regain the magic. He’ll be getting all the carries.

Vince Young (6% owned)- Turned in another quality performance again this week and actually has an easy schedule the rest of the year. Stash away Young as a back up quarterback and possibly reap the rewards along the way (week 13 vs. STL and Week 16 vs. SD).

James Jones (0% owned)- With Jordie Nelson still on the sidelines, Jones has emerged as the big play guy in the Packers pass happy offense. He’ll be wildly inconsistent week to week but can take advantage of a bad secondary.

Matt Hasselbeck (73% owned)- Generally productive when healthy and has a cup cake schedule the rest of the year. He should be a top 10 guy from here on out.

Jamaal Charles ( 37% owned)- Now that Johnson has been cut Charles should be the guy. Plus, he’s has two first names!

Sunday, November 8, 2009

Sunday Preview - week 9

Sorry of the lateness of the previews of a case of the swine caught up with me. If you need some last minute Sunday help, it's here.

Last Week against the spread

Mayo: 4-9
Anderson: 7-6

Year to Date

Mayo: 29-24-1
Anderson: 25-28-1

1:00pm

Washington at Atlanta

Despite having been cursed with an anemic offense, the Redskins defense has actually been very respectable. Washington ranks 4th in total defense and are especially good against the pass, 2nd to be exact. This doesn’t bode well for the Falcons’ passing attack, primarily Matt Ryan. Ryan has been a turnover machine lately giving the ball away eight times over his last three games. Keep a spot on your bench open him. Michael Turner on the other hand is on quite the roll, scoring in his last six games. Atlanta will want to establish its run game early and should be able to find ways to run around Haynesworth. Roddy White hurt his knee in practice earlier this week but looks like he’ll suit up on Sunday but make sure he doesn’t end up as a surprise inactive, it happens. Clinton Portis may have some value with Atlanta ranking in the bottom third of rushing defense. The problem is that Jason Campbell can’t be trusted to make a play. Ever. We'll be seeing a lot of three and outs. The Falcons should roll at home and add to despondency that is Washington’s season.

Mayo: Atlanta ( -10)
Anderson: Atlanta ( -10)

Miami at New England

Stats are a pretty subjective depending on how you read them. For example, in his last three games against the Patriots, Ronnie Brown has 278 yards and 5 touchdowns. That should make him a must start in every leagues as the stats say he dominates the Pats. But let’s take out the game last season when the Dolphins debuted the Wildcat and Brown has a career average of 13.2 carries for 48 yards a game against New England. Things don’t look good for Brown. Actually, things don’t look good for the Dolphins in general this week. Miami will try to run the ball but wind up ultimately unsuccessful as there is no threat of a passing game with Chad Henne manning the ship under center. The Pats should get up early, using Moss and Welker to take advantage of Miami’s young secondary. Look for a blowout, that Pats will squish the fish.

Mayo: New England ( -10.5)
Anderson: Miami ( +10.5)

Green Bay at Tampa Bay

The super raw rookie Josh Friedman makes his debut this week which should be music to the Packers defense. Despite being banged up, Aaron Rodgers should have a field day with the porous Bucs defense. Rodgers, Driver, Jennings and Grant are all high end starts this week, as are Green Bay’s defense. You’d be nuts to trust any Buckos in this one. Give yourself a week to see how the offense works under Friedman and then make your decisions. Packers in an uncontested drubbing.

Mayo: Green Bay ( -10)
Anderson: Green Bay ( -10)

Kansas City at Jacksonville

In a match of the mediocres, the fantasy value of this game may be unmatched. Jamaal Charles finally gets his chance to show off his blazing speed against a weak Jaguar defensive line. His ability to catch the ball out of the backfield and not call his coach a "fag", makes him a great start this week, more so in PPRs. If there’s a week to start Matt Cassel, this may be it as he will find Dwayne Bowe all day long. It should be just as good of a day on the other side of the ball. Jacksonville is wildly inconsistent but tend to play better at home. MJD should continue his recent torrid pace. Mike Sims-Walker and Torry Holt should make a return to the stat pages this week after an unexpected absence last week. Start them all here as it should be a close, high scoring affair. I’m taking the Chiefs with the points.

Mayo: Kansas City (+6.5)
Anderson: Jacksonville ( -6.5)

Baltimore at Cincinnati

Carson Palmer seems to have the Ravens number owning a 7-3 lifetime mark against Baltimore. Seems like Vegas has no faith in that record as they’ve made the Ravens a three point favorite. I would have to agree. Coming off a huge win last week against the no longer undefeated Broncos, the Ravens will do their best to shut down Cedric Benson and get a win on the road. You have to roll with Joe Flacco and Derrick Mason against the Bengals’ 30th ranked pass defense. Ray Rice, like Ced Benson, is unsittable at this point, so get them in there. The founder of OCNN (Ochocinco New Network) always show up for every game in this series, so expect him to produce some quality numbers. Both secondaries can be taken advantage of, so look for a high scoring game. I like the Ravens come out on top by 4 or more.

Mayo: Baltimore (-3)
Anderson: Cincinnati ( +3)

Houston at Indianapolis

Too bad Owen Daniels is out for the season, he really could have made this an upset. Without Daniels, Indy can focus on shutting down Andre Johnson and make the Texans' running game beat them. I don’t care how good Ryan Moats looked last week against the terrible Bills’ run defense, he’ll be lucky to sniff the end zone once, let alone three times. All members of the Colts passing game are a go this week; that means get Manning, Wayne, Clark and Collie in your line ups. This is a statement game for the Texans and they may catch Indy looking ahead to next week’s clash with the Patriots. But that’s a best case scenario, Manning doesn’t have many letdowns.

Mayo: Indianapolis ( -9)
Anderson: Indianapolis ( -9)

Arizona at Chicago

You really have to give ‘Zona head coach Ken Whisenhunt credit for changing the whole culture of a team after decades of futile existence. The Cards are 3-0 on the road this season, the Bears are 3-0 at home: something’s gotta give. Who’s it going to be? Probably Arizona, if history teaches us anything. But these are the new Cardinals, they win on the road and stop the run. If they can shut down Matt Forte, they’ll force Jay Cutler to play 500-up with the football and that plays right into the hands of the ball hawking Arizona secondary. There should be points scored from all over in this one but I like the Cards to do a bit more. They should be back on their game after getting embarrassed by the Panthers last week.

Mayo: Arizona (+3)
Anderson: Chicago ( -3)

4:00pm

Detroit at Seattle

It’s actually shocking but they’re televising this game. Who’s watching? Maybe Lions’ diehard Dusty Burke, but he may use this time to work out or at least work out the problems that come with liking the Lions. Looks like Kevin Smith and Megatron will be playing but if last week taught us anything, maybe set aside a plan B so you don’t put up a zero. You’ll want them in if they’re playing. From the Seattle side, start everyone. That was easy enough. This may not even be a bad week to use the Seahawks in your eliminator pools.

Mayo: Seattle ( -10)
Anderson: Seattle ( -10)

Carolina at New Orleans

Somehow this has become the trendy upset pick of the week. Out of all the games this one seems like the biggest lock. The Saints haven’t played their best game in weeks and have still found ways to pull out victories. Carolina’s only hope is to control the clock through their bruising run game. That plan is highly problematic because it’s hard to run the ball when you’re down by 21 a quarter into the game. Start all your usual Saints and definitely get the Saints’ defense in there, they’re playing the King of Turnovers himself, Jake Delhomme.

Mayo: New Orleans ( -13.5)
Anderson: New Orleans ( -13.5)

Tennessee at San Francisco

What ya gonna do 49ers when Vinsanity runs wild over you? Have Patrick Willis spy him and hit him so hard it actually improves his Wonderlic scores. The Titans looked good against a pitiful Jaguar defense but will be tested by Mike Singletary’s hard nose unit. They won’t let Chris Johnson beat them, so Vince Young will need to be up to the task, which I have my doubts about. I like the 49ers defense to make the most of Young’s errant throws.

Mayo: San Francisco (-4)
Anderson: Tennessee ( +4)

San Diego at New York Giants

The suddenly hot Chargers travel east for a clash with the sleeping (or slumping) Giants. Eli Manning looks hurt and it’s affecting the entire offense. Former superstar Steve “Squiggy” Smith has come back to earth and the season long slump for Brandon Jacobs continues each week. But this is a game where they can all break out. The San Diego defense doesn’t stop anyone, not even the inept Raiders. The Chargers do better in high scoring games and will want to throw the ball all over the Giants’ beat up secondary. Rivers, Gates, Jackson and even new starter Malcolm Floyd are all nice starts here. The Giants stop the run well and that should make it a nice week to sit LT and get Sproles in the line up. The Bolts are hot right now and the Giants play better on the road, take the Chargers and the points.

Mayo: San Diego (+5)
Anderson: San Diego ( +5)

8:15pm

Dallas at Philadelphia

Shoot out alert of the week. The last three games in this series have produced games of 50, 78, and 55 points between the teams. Start them all. Get Romo, Barber, Witten and Austin in from Dallas; McNabb, Westbrook, Jackson, Celek and Maclin from Philly. The teams looks about even, so I’ll take the home team and the over (currently set at 50).

Mayo: Philadelphia (-3)
Anderson: Dallas ( +3)

Monday Night

Pittsburgh at Denver

Are the Broncos actually a fraud? We’ll all find out this week. Coming off their first loss of the season at Baltimore, Denver gets their second AFC North foe in as many weeks, never a good thing. The Steel Curtain is coming off a bye and now as a blueprint of how to beat Denver. Jam the receivers and put 8 in the box, Kyle Orton simply can’t throw the ball downfield. Well I suppose he can, just not for positive results. The saving grace is that the Broncos’ defense can keep this close and Broncos can win close games. In the end, I’ll take Big Ben before “All Smiles” Kyle Orton any day of the week.

Mayo: Pittsburgh (-3)
Anderson: Pittsburgh ( -3)


It may not be "All Smiles" in Denver after this week